Your sales are growing. The accounts show a profit. Yet you are waiting for a client payment before you can settle the next round of bills. It can feel as though the figures are describing somebody else’s business.
Usually, they are describing different things. Profit tells you what the business earns after its costs. Cash flow tells you when money comes in and goes out. You need both views, because a profitable piece of work can still leave you short of money before the customer pays.
A sale does not always put money in the bank today
Picture a small studio delivering a project for € 12,000. The staff, materials and other costs allocated to the work come to € 8,000. That leaves a € 4,000 profit in this simplified example. But the customer has agreed to pay after delivery, while the studio needs to pay most of its costs first.
Under accounting that records sales when they are earned, the result can show the profit before the money arrives. Some businesses use cash-based methods for particular accounting or tax purposes. The method changes when figures are reported, but it does not change the date on which your landlord expects payment.
An unpaid invoice is a claim on money. Whether you can use that money next week depends on when the customer actually pays. A good month for sales can therefore be a difficult month for the bank account.
Spending and costs do not always happen together
Equipment is another common reason for the gap. You might pay for a machine immediately but spread its cost over its useful life in the accounts. That spreading of the cost is called depreciation. The cash leaves much sooner than the full cost appears in your profit figure.
Loan repayments also use cash. Repaying the borrowed amount reduces the debt; it is not the same as a business expense. Interest has a different treatment. Taking out a new loan creates the opposite effect: the bank balance rises, but the loan is not sales revenue.
Money taken out by an owner needs attention too. A sole trader’s personal withdrawal uses cash without being a salary expense in the same way as paying an employee. A limited company has different rules for paying its owners. These movements belong in your cash planning even when they do not reduce profit in the way you expect.
Build the forecast around payment dates
A cash forecast can start as a simple table. For each week or month, take the opening bank balance, add expected receipts and subtract expected payments. The closing balance becomes the opening balance for the next period.
Use the dates you expect money to move. A project booked in March but paid in May contributes cash in May. An annual insurance bill belongs in the period when it will be paid, even if your accounts spread the cost across the year.
Here is a basic example using assumed amounts that actually enter or leave the account. Payments out include the bills, tax payments and owner withdrawals planned for each month.
| Cash forecast | Month one | Month two |
|---|---|---|
| Opening balance | € 6,000 | € 3,000 |
| Expected receipts | € 4,000 | € 11,000 |
| Planned payments | € 7,000 | € 8,000 |
| Closing balance | € 3,000 | € 6,000 |
The business appears to return to its starting position after two months. But if € 5,000 of the second month’s receipts arrives a month late, that month closes with only € 1,000. If the opening € 6,000 included money already reserved for another tax bill, the usable cushion would be smaller still.
The point of the forecast is to expose those assumptions while you still have time to act. It does not need to predict the future perfectly to be useful.
Look inside the month when money is tight
A positive closing balance can hide a difficult few weeks. You may owe rent on the first day, pay a supplier on the tenth and receive your largest client payment on the twenty-fifth.
If the monthly view shows little room, switch to weekly dates. A rolling thirteen-week view can be a manageable starting point. Update it as invoices are paid, work changes and new bills arrive. The lowest expected balance matters more than a reassuring total at the end of the quarter.
Separate fairly certain receipts from possible work. A signed contract, an unpaid invoice and a promising conversation are not equally reliable. Keep the potential new sale visible, but do not quietly turn it into guaranteed cash to make the forecast balance.
Growth can make the gap bigger
More sales may mean buying more stock, hiring help or paying deposits to suppliers. You can end up financing a larger amount of work before any of the extra income arrives. Growth can be healthy and still require more cash.
An online seller may see revenue rising while the money is tied up in products sitting on shelves. Some stock will sell slowly. Some orders will be returned. If the business keeps buying based only on sales forecasts, it may struggle to pay for the stock it already has.
Before accepting a large order, check the payment schedule as carefully as the price. A deposit or staged payments may help the receipts match the work. Those terms need to be agreed with the customer. They work best as a clear part of the deal, rather than an unexpected request after spending has begun.
Make it easier for customers to pay on time
Send invoices promptly and include the details the customer needs. A missing purchase order number or the wrong contact can delay an otherwise straightforward payment. Make the due date and payment details easy to find.
Review overdue invoices regularly. Sometimes a reminder is enough. Sometimes there is a dispute or the customer is short of money. Those situations need different responses, especially if you are considering doing more work for the same customer.
Look at your own spending as well. Can an equipment purchase wait? Is the stock order larger than needed? Could you agree a different schedule with a supplier before the bill falls due? Quietly delaying payment can move the problem to another small business and damage a useful relationship.
Borrowing may bridge a temporary gap, but put its fees, interest and repayments into the forecast. If the gap keeps returning because your work is priced too cheaply, another loan does not repair the underlying margin.
Dutch businesses should plan for VAT and tax separately
If you charge VAT in the Netherlands, part of a customer payment may need to be paid to the tax authority after allowable deductions. The amount sitting in the bank is not all available for your own spending. Your accounting method and VAT rules affect when tax becomes due, so check the treatment that applies to your business.
A cash forecast uses the actual amounts expected to enter and leave the account, including VAT where it is charged. Put the expected VAT payment or refund in separately. Also allow for income tax or corporate tax, depending on the business structure. Copying a profit forecast that excludes VAT will not give the same picture.
For help keeping the underlying figures current, I offer bookkeeping and administration for businesses in the Netherlands. The service includes checking bank records and providing an overview of revenue, costs and outstanding amounts. Those records give you a clearer starting point for planning payments.
Keep the forecast connected to your real life
Your business and household both need money, particularly when you work for yourself. Plan personal withdrawals alongside business bills, and distinguish business reserves from your personal emergency fund. The same money cannot cover both needs at the same time.
Keep the books current enough to support the forecast. My guide to a simple bookkeeping routine explains how to keep track of invoices, payments and missing documents without creating an unmanageable task.
Then ask one practical question each time you review the figures: what could make the lowest balance fall further? A late payment, a quiet week or a repair bill may be enough. Seeing that early gives you more room to make decisions while the business is still in control of the timing.

